By Ishaan Arora
(Reuters) -Gold hit a record high on Tuesday as there were no signs of a reprieve from an impasse between the two houses of the U.S. Congress that has led to a government shutdown, while near-certain bets of a U.S. rate cut this month also lent support.
Spot gold rose 0.4% to $3,974.09 per ounce by 0446 GMT, trading near the all-time high of $3,977.19 hit earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures for December delivery gained 0.5% to $3,996.40.
“The (chances of) October and December cuts are still skewing above the 80% mark, so that’s actually supporting gold prices and also this government shutdown as well, given there is still no resolution between the two sides of the U.S. Congress,” OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong said.
Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Jeff Schmid signalled he is disinclined to cut interest rates further, saying the Fed should stay focused on the danger of too-high inflation as opposed to apparent job market weakness.
Markets, however, are still pricing in additional 25 basis-point rate cuts in both October and December, with probabilities of 93% and 82%, respectively, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Non-yielding gold thrives in a low interest rate environment and during economic uncertainties.
Gold has climbed 51% so far this year on strong central bank buying, increased demand for gold-backed exchange-traded funds, a weaker dollar and growing interest from retail investors seeking to hedge amid rising trade and geopolitical tensions.
Goldman Sachs on Monday raised its December 2026 gold price forecast to $4,900 per ounce from $4,300, citing strong Western exchange-traded fund inflows and central bank buying.
China’s central bank added gold to its reserves in September for the eleventh straight month, data from the People’s Bank of China showed.
Elsewhere, spot silver was steady at $48.52 per ounce, platinum rose 0.1% to $1,626.55 and palladium rose 0.9% to $1,330.91.
(Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Sonia Cheema)
