BERLIN (Reuters) -German logistics firms are under pressure heading into 2026, a year in which only slight growth of 0.5% year-on-year in real terms is expected, according to a forecast published by the industry association BVL on Wednesday
A group of logistics experts presented for the first time three different scenarios instead of a single forecast due to the uncertain economic and geopolitical situation.
In the optimistic case, real growth of 1.1% is possible, while in the pessimistic scenario, the sector faces a 0.4% decline.
The current mood in autumn 2025 is assessed by the specialists as slightly negative, even though investment intentions are stable.
The experts cited several factors for their scepticism, with an uncertain trade policy environment at the top.
In addition, an increase in cyberattacks is to be expected, which would tie up a relevant share of IT budgets, the group said.
The sector is placing great hope in efficiency gains through more automation, digitalization, and artificial intelligence.
(Reporting by Klaus Lauer, writing by Maria Martinez, editing by Miranda Murray)
